Business – Creditors likely to agree Dubai World standstill
LONDON (Reuters) – Dubai World’s lenders are meeting in Dubai on Dec. 21 to decide whether to agree to a six-month standstill request on the company’s $26-billion debt pile.
The steering committee is led by Standard Chartered, HSBC, Lloyds, Royal Bank of Scotland, and local lenders Emirates NBD and Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank but up to 95 lenders are expected to join the meeting.
Royal Bank of Scotland will chair the steering committee and is also the agent bank on Dubai World’s $5.5 billion loan, bankers said.
The banks have appointed KPMG to audit proposals received from Dubai World.
The government of Dubai, acting through the Dubai Financial Support Fund appointed Aidan Birkett of Deloitte as Chief Restructuring Officer for Dubai World along with Moelis & Co and Rothschild.
Here are various ways in which the negotiations could unfold:
STANDSTILL FOR DUBAI WORLD AGREED
Lenders agree to Dubai World’s $26 billion standstill request: Under normal circumstances this would need the consent of all lenders, but bankers said lenders are unlikely to object due to a lack of alternatives.
Creditors will then embark on a lengthy and complex debt rescheduling albeit with several conditions attached.
Dubai World’s lenders will want to take additional security over existing unsecured loans to cover the $16 billion of Dubai World’s debt that is not covered by Abu Dhabi’s $10 billion bailout.
This is likely to take the form of an explicit guarantee from the UAE Federation or Abu Dhabi, bankers said, adding that property developers Nakheel and Limitless have land banks but relatively few saleable assets.
Existing loans will be partially repaid through any asset sales and the remaining debt will be rescheduled by stretching the loans over a longer maturity and putting in regular amortising repayments to match cashflow.
Some of Dubai World’s companies including Nakheel may also need new money to complete unfinished projects in order to generate more cash to repay debt, bankers said.
STANDSTILL FOR DUBAI WORLD REJECTED
Dubai will have to repay all outstanding obligations as they mature: This is deemed virtually impossible as Nakheel and Limitless simply do not have sufficient money to repay their debts, bankers said.
Creditors could then try to enforce security — taking over the companies or selling the assets. This would be difficult on Dubai World’s $5.5-billion loan as the covenants are weak and do not offer lenders robust protection, bankers said.
NEW BANKRUPTCY LAWS INVOKED
Dubai introduced new laws on Monday that would allow Dubai World and its subsidiaries to file for bankruptcy, making it easier for corporate debt to be restructured via local courts, rather than relying on sovereign support.
The new law will include a tribunal panel to adjudicate on potential claims against Dubai World arising from its restructuring.
The immediate implications for creditors are unclear.
BROADER RESTRUCTURING FOR DUBAI INC
Banks want to see a broader refinancing plan for all of Dubai Inc’s debt maturing in the next 2-3 years including loans for Borse Dubai and Dubai Holding along with possible refinancing options.
This is likely to happen alongside the Dubai World standstill due to Dubai’s restricted access to capital markets and the weak debt positions of Dubai Holdings and Borse Dubai.
Dubai Holdings and Borse Dubai could either negotiate separate standstill agreements with lenders or have their debt rolled into a wider restructuring.
(Reporting by Tessa Walsh and Christopher Mangham, Editing by Sitaraman Shankar)
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